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Dubai Real Estate Market Review: January 2026

Posted by admin on February 4, 2026
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Land transactions in January 2026 was 56.4% of the total transactions value. The market activity increased by AED 50 billion over January 2025, 92% YoY.

The Real Estate Report


January 2026 closed with a total traded value of AED104.09B across 21,707 transactions, nearly double January 2025’s AED54.08B (+92.5% YoY). The month’s headline feature was Land, which accounted for the majority of value, while Off-Plan remained the strongest built-property engine by traded value.

CategoryOff-Plan (AED Billion)Ready (AED Billion)
Flat19.879.89
Villa6.553.33
Hotel Apt. & Rooms0.170.97
Commercial2.751.84
Total29.3516.04

Market Composition

SegmentValueShare of January Total
Off-PlanAED29.35B28.2%
ReadyAED16.04B15.4%
LandAED58.70B56.4%
TotalAED104.09B100%

Off-Plan Market Performance

Total Off-Plan Value: AED29.35B (28.2% of the month)
Off-plan was led overwhelmingly by Flats, which made up over two-thirds of off-plan value.

CategoryValueShare of Off-Plan
FlatsAED19.87B67.7%
VillasAED6.55B22.3%
CommercialAED2.75B9.4%
Hotel Apt. & RoomsAED0.17B0.6%

January’s off-plan market was essentially a flat-driven month, with villas a solid secondary pillar and commercial meaningful but clearly third. The highest ticket value for flats was Island 2 – AED80.0M, and for villas was The World – AED71.44M.

Top Performing Areas

AreaTransactions
Damac Islands1,081
Madinat Al Mataar672
Dubai Islands648
Dubai Land Residence Complex638
Jumeirah Village Circle628
AreaValue Traded (AED Billion)
Damac Islands3.61
Business Bay2.96
Dubai Islands2.03
Dubai Creek Harbour1.36
Madinat Al Mataar1.32

Ready Market Performance

Total Ready Value: AED16.04B (15.4% of the month)
Ready also skewed toward flats, but with a noticeably higher share for Hotel Apt. & Rooms versus off-plan.

CategoryValueShare of Ready
FlatsAED9.89B61.7%
VillasAED3.33B20.8%
CommercialAED1.84B11.5%
Hotel Apt. & RoomsAED0.97B6.0%

Ready demand remained broad-based, with flats leading, and hotel/room product showing a more material footprint than in off-plan. The highest ticket value for flats was Jumeirah Bay – AED71.90M,and for villas was Palm Jumeirah AED220.0M.

Top Performing Areas

AreaTransactions
Jumeirah Village Circle821
Business Bay670
Arjan597
Dubai Marina503
Burj Khalifa362
  
AreaValue Traded (AED Billion)
Business Bay1.69
Burj Khalifa1.44
Dubai Marina1.00
Palm Jumeirah0.97
Jumeirah Village Circle0.92

Land Market Performance

Total Land Value: AED58.70B (56.4% of the month)
Land didn’t just lead, it defined January. This is the core reason the overall month printed at AED104.09B and delivered the +92.5% YoY jump.

AreaValue Traded (AED Bn)
Dubai Water Front11.10
Al Rowaiyah First8.87
Me’Aisem Second6.15
Palm Jumeirah5.19
Hadaeq Sheikh MBR2.87

Top Projects by Value Traded

Off-Plan (Top 10 Total: AED5.70B)

The top 10 off-plan projects collectively contributed ~19.4% of total off-plan value (AED5.70B out of AED29.35B), indicating a meaningful concentration in the biggest launches.

Top 3 by value:

  • Nourelle — AED751.4M
  • Lumena by Omniyat — AED682.1M
  • Hado By Beyond — AED659.2M

Ready (Top 10 Total: AED1.56B)

The top 10 ready projects contributed ~9.7% of ready value (AED1.56B out of AED16.04B), implying ready demand is more distributed.

Top 3 by value:

  • EOME — AED220.0M
  • Bay Square — AED190.45M
  • Sensoria at Five Luxe — AED179.67M

On The Micro Level

Flats are a 1BR + Studio market in both off-plan and ready, with ready showing a slightly stronger 2BR mix.

Off-plan villa demand is decisively family-upgrade (4–5BR), while ready is centered on 3–4BR liquidity.

Market Insights & Outlook

January 2026 printed an exceptional headline (AED104.09B, +92.5% YoY) primarily because Land dominated the value stack (56.4%), amplified by at least one ultra-ticket transaction. Underneath that, the built market stayed structurally consistent: flats led both off-plan and ready, with off-plan showing stronger recently launched concentration (top projects = ~19.4% of off-plan value) and ready reflecting broader distribution (top projects = ~9.7% of ready value). If land intensity normalizes in the following months, the key question becomes whether off-plan launch velocity (e.g., Damac Islands scale) can sustain overall market value at elevated levels without relying on land’s outsized contribution.

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